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Market Commentary

Updated on February 15, 2019 10:33:02 AM EST

Januarys Industrial Production data was released at 9:15 AM ET this morning, revealing a 0.6% decline in output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities. This was well below expectations of a 0.1% rise and indicates that parts of the manufacturing sector softened last month. That is good news for mortgage rates since it points towards weaker economic activity. However, this is only a moderately important report. Accordingly, we have seen just a slight reaction in mortgage pricing.

Today’s second release was Februarys preliminary reading to the University of Michigans Index of Consumer Sentiment at 10:00 AM. This release gave us the bad news of the morning. It showed a reading of 95.5 that was higher than forecasts and a good-sized increase from December’s 91.2. The increase means surveyed consumers felt better about their own financial and employment situations than they did in December. That is taken as a negative for bonds and mortgage rates because a higher level of confidence usually translates into stronger consumer spending that fuels economic growth. Fortunately, this is only considered to be a moderately influential release, preventing a heavy impact on rates.

Next week gives us a couple of economic reports for the markets to digest in addition to the minutes from last month’s FOMC meeting and a fairly large number of Fed speaking engagements. The markets will be closed Monday for the President’s Day holiday. Look for details on the week’s entire calendar in Sunday evening’s weekly preview.

 ©Mortgage Commentary 2019

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PRMI NMLS No. 3094. Branch NMLS 252910. PRMI is an Equal Housing Lender. Some products and services may not be available in all states. Credit and collateral are subject to approval. Terms and conditions apply. This is not a commitment to lend. Programs, rates, terms and conditions are subject to change without notice. The content in this marketing advertisement has not been approved, reviewed, sponsored or endorsed by any department or government agency. Rates are subject to change and are subject to borrower(s) qualification. This office is licensed and examined by the Office of Consumer Credit Commissioner of the State of Texas. Alabama Banking Department Bureau of Banking MC 20316. Arkansas Securities Department 11558. Florida Office of Financial Regulation MLD646. Department of Banking and Finance 6521. Office of Financial Institutions #771. Missouri Division of Finance. Mississippi Department of Banking and Consumer Finance, 3094. Oklahoma Department of Consumer Credit ML010027. Department of Financial Institutions 109282.

PRMI NMLS No. 3094. Branch NMLS 252910. PRMI is an Equal Housing Lender. Some products and services may not be available in all states. Credit and collateral are subject to approval. Terms and conditions apply. This is not a commitment to lend. Programs, rates, terms and conditions are subject to change without notice. The content in this marketing advertisement has not been approved, reviewed, sponsored or endorsed by any department or government agency. Rates are subject to change and are subject to borrower(s) qualification. This office is licensed and examined by the Office of Consumer Credit Commissioner of the State of Texas. Alabama Banking Department Bureau of Banking MC 20316. Arkansas Securities Department 11558. Florida Office of Financial Regulation MLD646. Department of Banking and Finance 6521. Office of Financial Institutions #771. Missouri Division of Finance. Mississippi Department of Banking and Consumer Finance, 3094. Oklahoma Department of Consumer Credit ML010027. Department of Financial Institutions 109282.